71.4% probability that EUR/USD will trend down on Thursday at 8:30am EST if the Jobless Claims number is lower than economists’ expectations
This Thursday at 8:30am EST the US government will release their latest Jobless Claims numbers. If the number is less than the economist consensus there is a 71.4% probability that EUR/USD will trend lower for 4 hours following the news event.
This probability is based on the last 12 Jobless Claims events, in which 5 of the last 7 events where the actual number was lower than the economist consensus resulted in devaluation in the EURO. Here are images of the past events:
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Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance