This Thursday at 8:30am EST the US government will release their latest Jobless Claims numbers. If the number is less than the economist consensus there is a 71.4% probability that EUR/USD will trend lower for 4 hours following the news event.
This probability is based on the last 12 Jobless Claims events, in which 5 of the last 7 events where the actual number was lower than the economist consensus resulted in devaluation in the EURO. Here are images of the past events:
Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance